Track record

Live record (real snapshots, exact order-book net)

Every day from 00:05 UTC the top 10 pairs on the board with a positive net calculated from the order books (after slippage, at $10,000 per side, held 7 days) on live data are stored — actionable pairs and pairs held back only by size or the slippage budget, each marked — with their predicted net, predicted funding, cost (fees, slippage, carry, borrow) and both legs' sizes. After 7 days, the funding that settled on both legs over that window, minus the same cost, is the realized net. Pairs whose settlement history does not cover the window are marked insufficient data and not counted.

Backfill: the last 90 days rebuilt from history

A historical simulation that uses only what was public each day at 00:05 UTC: each leg’s last settled rate, the pair’s settled 7 days, today’s VIP0 taker fees and a 5 bp slippage budget per leg. Perp ↔ perp pairs on Binance, Bybit, OKX, Gate and Hyperliquid whose two legs each traded at least $2M the day before. Kept apart from the live record. Known biases: no historical order books (slippage is a budget, not measured); a narrower universe than the live board; only contracts that still exist (slight survivorship bias).

Backfill and live record together

Each day counted once: backfilled days from the first live day on are left out.

Every pick